Monday, September 24, 2012

You won’t need a driver’s license by 2040


A popular topic to talk about in CIS 600 is disruptive technology, this article talks about a disruptive technology relating to the no longer needing to carry a drivers license. The article talks about the new development of autonomous cars that will be around in the next couple of years. Companies in the auto industry are trying to take steps to get ahead of their competitors by releasing these autonomous cars. “GM's Cadillac division expects to produce partially autonomous cars at a large scale by 2015, and the automaker also predicts it will have fully autonomous cars available by the end of the decade. Audi and BMW have also shown self-driving car concepts, with the former working with Stanford to pilot a modified TT up Pikes Peak.” So this shows already the increase in competition for a product that will not even be around for a couple of years.

The thought of self-driving cars is something we have all thought about as something that would develop in the future. There are studies out there that believe that autonomous cars will be more frequent by the year 2040. “The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) recently released predictions that autonomous cars will account for up to 75 percent of vehicles on the road by the year 2040.” This is something that really surprises me, the year 2040 is not that far away and just visioning self-driving cars is just something that I would not be able to believe it until I see it.

Google is also looking into investing into this industry, they have a license to operate driver less cars in Nevada. This is one step into allowing self-driving cars on the road. They believe that the biggest obstacle is “building the infrastructure.” I would not be surprised if Google released an autonomous car which will lead to their competitors (Apple) to come out with a car that would be truly innovative. We will never truly know what is going to be made of for autonomous cars, we are going to have to wait and see.

http://www.cnn.com/2012/09/18/tech/innovation/ieee-2040-cars/index.html

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